Market Commentary: The Good. The Bad (But Not That Bad). And the Ugly.
Various measures of inflation continue to track lower, likely opening a path for the Fed to stop its aggressive rate hiking cycle. Consumer prices continue to fall quickly, suggesting inflation is steadily trending lower. The consumer has been extremely strong this year, but recent retail s …
Market Commentary: When Will the Santa Rally Start?
When Will the Santa Rally Start? Last week was rough for equity markets. The S&P 500 Index fell 3.4%. As we noted, December is historically strong for stocks, and we don’t expect 2022 to be any different. It has been the third best month for the S&P 500 since 1950 (April and Novemb …
Market Commentary: Welcome to December
Welcome to December Can you believe we’ve made it to the final month of the year? Stocks gained nicely in October and November (more on that below), but now we head into the jolliest month of them all. The good news is no month is more likely to be higher for stocks. The S&P 500 …
Market Commentary: A More Positive 2023
A More Positive 2023 Stocks continued to move higher last week, with the Dow back above 34,000 and officially closing at a new seven-month high along the way. After energy led the rally, several other sectors, including financials, health care, materials, and industrials are now participati …
Market Commentary: Gridlock Can Be Good
It is Thanksgiving week, so we want to review a few reasons for investors to be thankful. Yes, it has been a tough year. But things are looking better, and we expect more improvement in 2023. Gridlock Can Be Good The first reason to be thankful is stocks have continued to rally off their Oc …
Markets, Policy & Elections
You probably have questions on how the markets will be affected by the midterm elections. Will you feel policy changes in your wallet?
Market Commentary: A Big Bounce
On the heels of a huge month for stocks in October, the bull continued to soar in November, as the S&P 500 had its best week since June and the NASDAQ had its best week since March. Sparking much of the rally was news that inflation has likely peaked and is finally slowing. We’ll discus …
Let’s Talk About Midterm Elections and Your Investments
This week was midterm elections and we’ve had many questions about what it all could mean, which we’ll tackle in today’s blog. We consider it a great honor to vote, and while we may not know the final results of the election for days (or even months), what we do know is the election will …
Market Commentary: A Dovish Statement Reversed by a Hawkish Powell
As expected, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 0.75% to the 3.75-4% range on Wednesday. This was the fourth successive 0.75% hike. The initial market focus was on a new line inserted in the official statement, wherein the Fed nodded in the direction of decelerating the pa …
Market Commentary: An Incredible Month for the Markets
Stocks ended another strong week, continuing the trend of buyers stepping up in October. Several years have seen October kill off bear markets, and 2022 may join that list. In fact, the only two years that started off worse for the S&P 500 than 2022 were 1974 and 2002, and both of those …
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2023 Market Outlook Report
Just because 2022 was a poor year for stocks and bonds doesn’t mean the same will be true for 2023. See why the Carson Research team believes there are reasons to be optimistic in 2023.